Soon after, fighting erupts between State A’s armed forces and the armed group.įor a general overview of the structure of analysis in this section, see Note on the structure of articles.
The series of cyber attacks conducted by the group bring about considerable chaos and panic across State A. Opening the floodgates of several dams in State A, which results in significant material damage and the deaths of several individuals ( incident 3b).
Temporarily disabling the power grid in parts of the territory of State A ( incident 3a) and.As a result of these operations, the group succeeds in: State B’s civilian intelligence agency provides the cyber wing of the armed group with specific continuous guidance throughout cyber operations the group launches, utilizing the previously provided exploits.State B’s military intelligence agency provides the cyber wing of the armed group with several zero-day exploits that were identified for their potential to be used against industrial control systems employed by State A ( incident 2).State B provides the armed group with significant financial assistance, which the group uses to establish and maintain its cyber wing ( incident 1).In particular, State B gradually extends the following forms of support to the armed group: State B does not hide its support for the newly formed armed faction. Recently, individuals belonging to minority M formed an armed faction X with a highly active cyber wing. The members of the minority M share their ethnicity with the dominant ethnic group in State B. Relations between States A and B have been strained for a long time, stemming primarily from State A’s longstanding unfavourable treatment of a minority group M that lives in that State’s territory. Scenario Keywords Įffective control, international armed conflict, international humanitarian law, internationalization, overall control, non-international armed conflict, non-State actors 2.2 Characterization as a non-international armed conflict.2.1 Characterization as an international armed conflict.
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